66th Prince Edward Island general election

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66th Prince Edward Island general election

← 2015 On or before October 7, 2019 (2019-10-07) Next →

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

  Wade MacLauchlan in DC (cropped).jpg James Aylward (cropped).jpeg Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
Leader Wade MacLauchlan James Aylward Peter Bevan-Baker
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative Green
Leader since February 21, 2015 October 20, 2017 November 3, 2012
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Stratford-Kinlock Kellys Cross-Cumberland
Last election 18 seats, 40.83% 8 seats, 37.39% 1 seat, 10.81%
Current seats 16 8 2

Incumbent Premier

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal



The next Prince Edward Island general election will occur on or before October 7, 2019, as the Prince Edward Island Elections Act requires a provincial election to be held by the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year unless it is called earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no-confidence in the Legislative Assembly or at the request of the Premier.[1] The election will be held concurrently with a referendum on electoral reform.

Background[edit]

In the previous election, on May 4, 2015, the Liberal party, led by Premier Wade MacLauchlan, was re-elected to a majority government. The official opposition Progressive Conservatives, under leader Rob Lantz, increased its seat count from 3 before the election to 8, despite Lantz losing in Charlottetown-Brighton. Meanwhile, the Green party, under leader Peter Bevan-Baker, won its first ever seat, Bevan-Baker's, in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[2] Despite the increase in the Progressive Conservatives' seat count, on September 23 of that year, Lantz stepped down as leader.[3] The Progressive Conservatives held a leadership election on October 20, 2017, and chose MLA James Aylward as their leader.

Standings[edit]

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
Party Party leader Seats
2015 Current
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 18 16
Progressive Conservative James Aylward 8 8
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 1 2
Independent * 1
Total 27 27

Timeline[edit]

2015[edit]

2016[edit]

2017[edit]

2018[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Three-day average of PEI opinion polls from May 4, 2015, to the last possible date of the next election on October 7, 2019. Each line corresponds to a political party.

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Liberal PC Green NDP Lead
12–29 July 2018 MQO Research 400 34% 29% 33% 4% 1%
15–17 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 731 32.0% 31.3% 29.2% 5.4% 0.7%
2–28 May 2018 Corporate Research Associates 600 34% 26% 33% 7% 1%
16 Apr–8 May 2018 MQO Research 400 38% 29% 26% 7% 9%
2–28 Feb 2018 Corporate Research Associates 300 42% 17% 34% 6% 8%
15–20 Jan 2018 MQO Research 400 37% 29% 28% 6% 8%
4–6 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 647 28.6% 30.2% 36.1% 5.1% 5.9%
1–30 Nov 2017 Corporate Research Associates 600 37% 28% 25% 11% 9%
3–10 Oct 2017 MQO Research 400 43% 32% 13% 12% 11%
3 Aug–5 Sep 2017 Corporate Research Associates 304 45% 24% 18% 12% 21%
15 Jul 2017 MQO Research 39% 31% 22% 7% 8%
9 May–1 Jun 2017 Corporate Research Associates 304 38% 26% 26% 10% 12%
18 Apr 2017 MQO Research 39% 29% 23% 9% 10%
3 Feb–1 Mar 2017 Corporate Research Associates 304 48% 19% 26% 7% 22%
16 Jan 2017 MQO Research 44% 26% 24% 6% 18%
7–29 Nov 2016 Corporate Research Associates 300 46% 25% 22% 7% 21%
2 Oct 2016 MQO Research 56% 25% 7% 11% 31%
9–31 Aug 2016 Corporate Research Associates 301 64% 19% 9% 8% 45%
19 Jul 2016 MQO Research 64% 14% 6% 16% 48%
6–30 May 2016 Corporate Research Associates 300 58% 20% 16% 7% 38%
6 Apr 2016 MQO Research 69% 17% 9% 5% 52%
9 Feb–7 Mar 2016 Corporate Research Associates 309 61% 19% 11% 9% 42%
6 Nov–1 Dec 2015 Corporate Research Associates 301 61% 18% 11% 9% 43%
10 Aug–2 Sep 2015 Corporate Research Associates 304 46% 22% 14% 18% 24%
11–28 May 2015 Corporate Research Associates 300 40% 24% 17% 19% 16%
4 May 2015 General election results 81,998 40.8% 37.4% 10.8% 11.0% 3.4%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Elections Act" (PDF). Government of Prince Edward Island. Retrieved August 6, 2015. 
  2. ^ a b "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016. 
  3. ^ a b "P.E.I. Progressive Conservative Leader Rob Lantz resigns as leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016. 
  4. ^ "Jamie Fox named Progressive Conservative interim leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016. 
  5. ^ MacPhee, Nancy. "Janice Sherry calling it quits". The Guardian (1 August 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016. 
  6. ^ Wright, Teresa. "Chris Palmer wins Summerside-Wilmot with 42.3 per cent of the vote". The Guardian (17 October 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016. 
  7. ^ "Voting begins in P.E.I. plebiscite on electoral reform". CBC News. Retrieved 29 October 2016. 
  8. ^ Bradley, Susan (8 November 2016). "P.E.I. plebiscite results favour mixed member proportional representation". CBC News. Retrieved 8 November 2016. 
  9. ^ "Motion No. 80, Democratic renewal: a clear question and a binding vote". www.assembly.pe.ca. Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island. 
  10. ^ Wright, Teresa (22 November 2016). "Motion urging P.E.I. government to honour electoral reform vote defeated". The Guardian. Charlottetown. Retrieved 25 November 2016. 
  11. ^ http://www.greenparty.pe.ca/call_for_candidates