2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout61.92% Increase[citation needed]
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,522,925 870,695
Percentage 60.72% 34.72%

Tennessee Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County results
Trump:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Clinton:      50–60%      60–70%

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Although southern Democrat Bill Clinton won the state twice due to having Tennessee native Al Gore as his running mate, Donald Trump won the election in the Volunteer State with 60.7% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 34.7% of the vote.[1] This is the largest margin of victory for a presidential candidate for either party since 1972 with Richard Nixon, and also the first time since that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee.

Tennessee was one of eleven states Bill Clinton won in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost.

Background[edit]

Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points, due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Results
Democratic primary results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 245,930 66.07% 44 7 51
Bernie Sanders 120,800 32.45% 23 0 23
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,025 0.54%
Uncommitted 3,467 0.93% 0 1 1
Total 372,222 100% 67 8 75
Source: The Green Papers

Republican primary[edit]

County results of the Tennessee Republican presidential primaries, 2016
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio
Tennessee Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 333,180 38.94% 33 0 33
Ted Cruz 211,471 24.71% 16 0 16
Marco Rubio 181,274 21.18% 9 0 9
Ben Carson 64,951 7.59% 0 0 0
John Kasich 45,301 5.29% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 9,551 1.12% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,415 0.28% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 2,350 0.27% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 1,849 0.22% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,256 0.15% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 715 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 710 0.08% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 267 0.03% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 253 0.03% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 186 0.02% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 855,729 100.00% 58 0 58
Source: The Green Papers

Polling[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

  1. CNN: Solid Trump[2]
  2. Cook Political Report: Solid Trump[3]
  3. Electoral-vote.com: Likely Trump[4]
  4. Los Angeles Times: Solid Trump[5]
  5. NBC: Likely Trump^[6]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Likely Trump[7]
  7. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]

^Highest rating given

Results[edit]

2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 1,522,925 60.72%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 870,695 34.72%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 70,397 2.81%
Green Jill Stein 15,993 0.64%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 11,991 0.48%
Independent Mike Smith 7,276 0.29%
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 4,075 0.16%
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy 2,877 0.12%
Independent Write-in 1,798 0.07%
Total votes 2,508,027 100.00%

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[10]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 76% 20% Phil Roe
2nd 65% 30% John J. Duncan, Jr.
3rd 61% 38% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 68% 27% Scott DesJarlais
5th 38% 56% Jim Cooper
6th 72% 24% Diane Black
7th 67% 28% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66% 31% Stephen Fincher
David Kustoff
9th 20% 77% Steve Cohen

By county[edit]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Anderson County 30.16% 9,013 64.30% 19,212 5.54% 1,656 29,881
Bedford County 22.11% 3,395 74.80% 11,486 3.09% 474 15,355
Benton County 23.29% 1,474 74.53% 4,716 2.18% 138 6,328
Bledsoe County 19.23% 897 77.66% 3,622 3.11% 145 4,664
Blount County 23.18% 12,100 71.72% 37,443 5.10% 2,665 52,208
Bradley County 18.28% 7,070 76.99% 29,768 4.73% 1,828 38,666
Campbell County 17.94% 2,248 78.76% 9,870 3.30% 414 12,532
Cannon County 21.21% 1,127 75.40% 4,007 3.39% 180 5,314
Carroll County 22.41% 2,327 74.69% 7,756 2.90% 301 10,384
Carter County 16.38% 3,453 80.15% 16,898 3.48% 733 21,084
Cheatham County 24.35% 3,878 70.94% 11,297 4.70% 749 15,924
Chester County 19.10% 1,243 78.09% 5,081 2.81% 183 6,507
Claiborne County 17.06% 1,832 80.09% 8,602 2.85% 306 10,740
Clay County 24.21% 707 73.32% 2,141 2.47% 72 2,920
Cocke County 16.34% 1,981 80.74% 9,791 2.92% 354 12,126
Coffee County 23.75% 4,743 72.19% 14,417 4.06% 811 19,971
Crockett County 24.14% 1,303 73.78% 3,982 2.08% 112 5,397
Cumberland County 19.73% 5,202 77.44% 20,413 2.83% 745 26,360
Davidson County 59.77% 148,864 33.95% 84,550 6.29% 15,654 249,068
Decatur County 19.47% 894 78.14% 3,588 2.40% 110 4,592
DeKalb County 22.56% 1,569 74.35% 5,171 3.09% 215 6,955
Dickson County 25.25% 4,722 70.77% 13,233 3.98% 744 18,699
Dyer County 21.12% 2,816 76.33% 10,180 2.55% 340 13,336
Fayette County 30.29% 5,874 67.31% 13,055 2.40% 465 19,394
Fentress County 15.00% 1,100 82.34% 6,038 2.66% 195 7,333
Franklin County 26.66% 4,374 70.30% 11,532 3.04% 498 16,404
Gibson County 26.90% 5,258 70.53% 13,786 2.57% 503 19,547
Giles County 26.19% 2,917 71.56% 7,970 2.24% 250 11,137
Grainger County 14.41% 1,154 82.74% 6,626 2.85% 228 8,008
Greene County 17.88% 4,216 78.71% 18,562 3.41% 805 23,583
Grundy County 20.97% 999 76.34% 3,636 2.69% 128 4,763
Hamblen County 19.69% 4,075 76.63% 15,857 3.67% 760 20,692
Hamilton County 38.84% 55,316 55.29% 78,733 5.87% 8,359 142,408
Hancock County 14.43% 322 82.61% 1,843 2.96% 66 2,231
Hardeman County 45.13% 4,185 53.05% 4,919 1.82% 169 9,273
Hardin County 16.30% 1,622 80.53% 8,012 3.17% 315 9,949
Hawkins County 16.88% 3,507 80.14% 16,648 2.98% 619 20,774
Haywood County 54.30% 3,711 44.09% 3,013 1.61% 110 6,834
Henderson County 17.62% 1,800 79.65% 8,138 2.73% 279 10,217
Henry County 23.66% 3,063 73.45% 9,508 2.89% 374 12,945
Hickman County 23.35% 1,824 72.89% 5,695 3.76% 294 7,813
Houston County 27.34% 866 68.88% 2,182 3.79% 120 3,168
Humphreys County 27.50% 1,967 68.92% 4,930 3.58% 256 7,153
Jackson County 25.28% 1,129 72.46% 3,236 2.26% 101 4,466
Jefferson County 18.32% 3,494 77.47% 14,776 4.21% 802 19,072
Johnson County 15.02% 988 82.23% 5,410 2.75% 181 6,579
Knox County 34.80% 62,878 58.53% 105,767 6.67% 12,052 180,697
Lake County 29.29% 577 68.88% 1,357 1.83% 36 1,970
Lauderdale County 37.79% 3,056 60.39% 4,884 1.82% 147 8,087
Lawrence County 18.01% 2,821 79.28% 12,420 2.71% 425 15,666
Lewis County 19.26% 890 77.56% 3,585 3.18% 147 4,622
Lincoln County 19.13% 2,554 77.90% 10,398 2.97% 396 13,348
Loudon County 21.03% 4,919 75.29% 17,610 3.69% 862 23,391
Macon County 14.29% 1,072 83.46% 6,263 2.25% 169 7,504
Madison County 40.52% 15,448 55.97% 21,335 3.51% 1,337 38,120
Marion County 26.07% 2,832 70.85% 7,696 3.07% 334 10,862
Marshall County 24.90% 2,852 71.44% 8,184 3.66% 419 11,455
Maury County 28.38% 10,038 67.29% 23,799 4.33% 1,532 35,369
McMinn County 18.72% 3,510 78.33% 14,691 2.95% 554 18,755
McNairy County 18.41% 1,848 78.11% 7,841 3.48% 349 10,038
Meigs County 19.81% 856 77.36% 3,342 2.82% 122 4,320
Monroe County 18.64% 3,186 78.24% 13,374 3.12% 533 17,093
Montgomery County 37.66% 21,699 56.13% 32,341 6.21% 3,580 57,620
Moore County 16.95% 496 79.46% 2,325 3.59% 105 2,926
Morgan County 15.72% 1,054 81.15% 5,441 3.13% 210 6,705
Obion County 19.81% 2,426 77.77% 9,526 2.42% 297 12,249
Overton County 23.64% 1,945 73.63% 6,059 2.73% 225 8,229
Perry County 20.91% 597 75.90% 2,167 3.19% 91 2,855
Pickett County 20.50% 536 77.28% 2,021 2.22% 58 2,615
Polk County 19.20% 1,252 78.17% 5,097 2.62% 171 6,520
Putnam County 25.18% 6,851 69.83% 19,002 4.99% 1,359 27,212
Rhea County 17.56% 1,942 78.29% 8,660 4.16% 460 11,062
Roane County 22.32% 4,837 73.28% 15,880 4.39% 952 21,669
Robertson County 24.48% 6,637 71.59% 19,410 3.93% 1,066 27,113
Rutherford County 34.17% 36,706 60.05% 64,515 5.78% 6,215 107,436
Scott County 13.11% 934 84.85% 6,044 2.04% 145 7,123
Sequatchie County 18.49% 1,053 77.99% 4,441 3.51% 200 5,694
Sevier County 17.34% 6,297 78.84% 28,629 3.82% 1,386 36,312
Shelby County 61.95% 208,992 34.48% 116,344 3.57% 12,047 337,383
Smith County 22.71% 1,689 73.88% 5,494 3.40% 253 7,436
Stewart County 23.06% 1,222 72.92% 3,864 4.02% 213 5,299
Sullivan County 20.20% 12,578 75.43% 46,979 4.37% 2,721 62,278
Sumner County 25.40% 18,161 70.11% 50,129 4.50% 3,215 71,505
Tipton County 24.64% 5,785 72.02% 16,910 3.35% 786 23,481
Trousdale County 29.94% 946 66.55% 2,103 3.51% 111 3,160
Unicoi County 17.54% 1,262 78.82% 5,671 3.64% 262 7,195
Union County 16.20% 1,012 80.89% 5,053 2.91% 182 6,247
Van Buren County 22.28% 539 75.24% 1,820 2.48% 60 2,419
Warren County 25.97% 3,535 70.09% 9,540 3.95% 537 13,612
Washington County 26.18% 13,024 68.85% 34,252 4.97% 2,474 49,750
Wayne County 12.24% 717 85.98% 5,036 1.78% 104 5,857
Weakley County 22.75% 2,772 73.93% 9,008 3.32% 404 12,184
White County 18.78% 1,845 78.08% 7,671 3.15% 309 9,825
Williamson County 29.18% 31,013 64.19% 68,212 6.63% 7,046 106,271
Wilson County 25.36% 14,385 69.46% 39,406 5.19% 2,943 56,734

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican[edit]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2017-07-17. Retrieved 2017-07-26.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
  2. ^ Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  3. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  4. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  5. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  6. ^ Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  8. ^ Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-12-15. Retrieved 2016-12-15.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
  10. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2015-10-16. Retrieved 2015-10-16.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)

External links[edit]