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Ray Kurzweil writes that, due to paradigm shifts, a trend of exponential growth extends Moore's law from integrated circuits to earlier transistors, v
Ray Kurzweil writes that, due to paradigm shifts, a trend of exponential growth extends Moore's law from integrated circuits to earlier transistors, vacuum tubes, relays, and electromechanical computers. He predicts that the exponential growth will continue, and that in a few decades the computing power of all computers will exceed that of ("unenhanced") human brains, with superhuman artificial intelligence appearing around the same time.
Schematic Timeline of Information and Replicators in the Biosphere: Gillings et al.'s "major evolutionary transitions" in information processing.
Schematic Timeline of Information and Replicators in the Biosphere: Gillings et al.'s "major evolutionary transitions" in information processing.
Amount of digital information worldwide (5×1021 bytes) versus human genome information worldwide (1019 bytes) in 2014
Amount of digital information worldwide (5×1021 bytes) versus human genome information worldwide (1019 bytes) in 2014
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Mass use of inventions: Years until use by a quarter of US population
Mass use of inventions: Years until use by a quarter of US population
Moore's Law expanded to other technologies.
Moore's Law expanded to other technologies.
Computer power grows exponentially.
Computer power grows exponentially.
Exponential growth in supercomputer power
Exponential growth in supercomputer power